Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.313821 0.365674 0.420351 0.482019 0.549353 0.620372 0.700672
2025-01-26 0.247883 0.319995 0.400863 0.497114 0.607428 0.728850 0.871548
2025-02-02 0.200169 0.285139 0.386032 0.511932 0.662188 0.833317 1.040511
2025-02-09 0.155914 0.246377 0.360232 0.508939 0.693172 0.909467 1.178158
2025-02-16 0.126809 0.221402 0.347072 0.517957 0.736483 0.999515 1.333046
2025-02-23 0.100014 0.194518 0.327367 0.515401 0.763276 1.068646 1.463177
2025-03-02 0.073741 0.163050 0.296969 0.494933 0.764313 1.104095 1.551324
2025-03-09 0.059790 0.147885 0.287332 0.500742 0.798334 1.180412 1.690256
2025-03-16 0.045165 0.128124 0.268049 0.490652 0.809389 1.226364 1.790773
2025-03-23 0.039093 0.122674 0.270122 0.510927 0.861791 1.326390 1.961003
2025-03-30 0.030676 0.110341 0.259319 0.510720 0.884878 1.387555 2.081603
2025-04-06 0.024150 0.100109 0.250608 0.512585 0.910193 1.451450 2.205998
2025-04-13 0.019799 0.093881 0.248533 0.525085 0.951838 1.539175 2.364498
2025-04-20 0.016631 0.089658 0.249552 0.542336 1.000645 1.637327 2.538006
2025-04-27 0.013859 0.085542 0.250210 0.558775 1.048432 1.734684 2.711602
2025-05-04 0.010089 0.076495 0.239918 0.556034 1.066992 1.791536 2.831531
2025-05-11 0.007887 0.071546 0.237251 0.565840 1.104482 1.875056 2.987980
2025-05-18 0.005486 0.064024 0.227958 0.563273 1.122472 1.931024 3.107464
2025-05-25 0.003007 0.053031 0.208898 0.541645 1.109499 1.942182 3.165480
2025-06-01 0.002063 0.048962 0.205331 0.547855 1.140351 2.016255 3.310176
2025-06-08 0.001055 0.042023 0.193300 0.537173 1.143408 2.049769 3.398890
2025-06-15 0.000824 0.041520 0.197986 0.558699 1.199148 2.160652 3.595849
2025-06-22 0.000416 0.037294 0.191799 0.558489 1.218982 2.218912 3.719816